Alex Rybakov vs Duncan Chan Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Recent second serve performance indicates that Chan has a slight advantage over Rybakov, with a win rate of 48.84% compared to 48.01%. Could this minor edge influence the match outcome? It's something to consider when predicting results.
• In returning opponents' second serves, Rybakov excels with 45.58% success, significantly ahead of Chan's 37.31%. How might this affect their encounters? It suggests Rybakov might capitalize on Chan's second serve.
• Both players perform closely in returning first serves, with Chan holding a small edge at 25.96% over Rybakov's 25.48%.
• Under pressure, Chan shows stronger breakpoint saving ability at 60.71% compared to Rybakov's 54.85%, potentially giving Chan a mental edge.
• In terms of overall match victories over the past year, Chan has an impressive win rate of 77.78%, though over fewer matches (7/2), while Rybakov has a solid 68.85% win rate (42/19).
• Rybakov's preferred surface is indoor hard courts with a 63% win rate; in contrast, Chan has recorded his best performance on hard courts with a remarkable 78% win rate. Could surface preference play a role?
• The tournament level indicates different experiences, with Rybakov playing primarily in Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, while Chan has been more in Futures/Satellites/ITF $10K, winning rates of 63.64% and 77.78% respectively.
• Rybakov has faced opponents with an average ranking of 394.18 over the past year, while Chan has competed against those averaging 59. Such differences may imply varying levels of competitive experience.
• If the match reaches a deciding set, Rybakov could have a psychological advantage, having won 58% of deciding sets in the last year compared to Chan's 0% win rate.
• Regarding break point conversion lately, Rybakov outperforms Chan, converting 29.86% of opportunities, whereas Chan manages 22.22%. This could be pivotal in tight moments.

Editorial Prediction (June 18, 2025, UTC):

Both players bring unique strengths to the match. Chan shows superior second serve success and break point recovery skills, suggesting a potential edge under pressure. Rybakov, however, demonstrates excellence in converting break points and defending in deciding sets, which could be crucial in a tightly contested match.

While Chan exhibits higher win rates on his preferred playing surface, Rybakov's success against higher-ranked opponents and ability to close out tense matches may offer him the edge.

Judging by the data, Rybakov's ability to challenge returns, execute under clutch situations, and experience against tougher competition suggests he holds a slight advantage. Thus, Rybakov is anticipated to likely emerge victorious in the upcoming match.